Nyuma y'imyaka 14 yo gukosora uturere twapfuye ku bimenyetso mu bihugu birenga 185 n'imijyi—kuva mu byaro byo muri Afurika kugeza ku nyubako ndende mu Burayi—mfite umwanya w’imbere mu kumenya uko isoko ry’inyongera ku isi rigenda. Mu minsi ishize, nagiye mbona abantu benshi kurusha mbere hose bahamagara abacuruza, ba nyiri ubucuruzi buto, ndetse n’abakunda ikoranabuhanga bibaza ibibazo bibiri bikomeye: Ni ibihe bihugu bikeneye cyane inyongera ku nyongera ku nyongera ku nyongera ku nyongera muri iki gihe? Kandi isoko rizagana he mu myaka itatu iri imbere? Reka duce raporo z’ibigo n’amagambo ahinnye—ibi nibyo biri kuba mu by’ukuri.
Ibyiciro by'ibyuma bitera amajwi bikoresha telefoni
Ubwa mbere, reka tuvuge ku bayobozi bakomeye mu byifuzo by'abaguzi muri iki gihe. Ni iki gitangaje cyane ku bantu benshi? Si ibigo by'ikoranabuhanga nka Amerika cyangwa Ubuyapani—niUbuhinde. Reka nsobanure impamvu. Ubuhinde bufite abaturage barenga miliyari 1.4, kandi nubwo imijyi nka Mumbai na Delhi ifite ikoranabuhanga rya 4G (kandi ikoranabuhanga rya 5G riri kwiyongera), 65% by'abaturage batuye mu byaro. Iyo midugudu—iherereye mu misozi ya Himalaya, ikwirakwiriye mu bibaya bya Ganges, cyangwa ku nkengero z'inyanja—ntigira ikimenyetso na kimwe. Dore ikintu cy'ingenzi: Abahinde benshi bo mu cyaro barimo kubona telefoni zigendanwa ku kazi (abahinzi bareba ibiciro by'ibihingwa), uburezi (abana bitabira amasomo yo kuri interineti), kandi bakomeza guhura n'umuryango..Nkorana n'abacuruza ibicuruzwa batatu mu Buhinde, kandi bose bavuga ikintu kimwe: Ubusabe bw'ibikoresho byongerera ingufu mu ngo no mu bucuruzi buciriritse bwazamutseho 80% mu myaka ibiri ishize. Abantu ntibaba babigura gusa kugira ngo byorohereze abantu—ni ingirakamaro mu kubona serivisi z'ibanze.
Ibyuma Bitera Ibimenyetso by'Imodoka — Abashoferi b'Amakamyo, Abagenzi bo mu Mihanda, RV
Ikurikira:Brezili na Nijeriya.Ikibazo cya Brezili ni imiterere y'isi—amashyamba manini y'inzitane, imigezi minini, n'uturere two ku nkombe bigoye ko abatwara abagenzi bakwirakwira. Imijyi yayo (São Paulo, Rio) ifite ikimenyetso cyiza, ariko sohoka hanze, kandi akenshi usigarana akabari kamwe. Ubusabe hano buterwa n'amasosiyete mato n'abaturage bo mu cyaro—tekereza ko abahinzi ba kawa bo muri Minas Gerais bakeneye kwishyura cyangwa aborozi bo muri Amazon bareba amakuru ajyanye n'ikirere. Hagati aho, Nijeriya ifite abaturage bakiri bato bazi ikoranabuhanga (barenga 60% bari munsi y'imyaka 25) kandi isoko rya telefoni zigendanwa riri gutera imbere, ariko ibikorwa remezo ntibishobora gukomeza. Imijyi nka Lagos ifite iminara yuzuye y’utugari igabanya umuvuduko w’amakuru, mu gihe mu byaro byo mu majyaruguru ntaho bihuriye n’ibyo.Ibyuma bifasha mu gutanga ibimenyetso hano bikunzwe cyane haba mu ngo no mu biro bito—ikintu cyose cyo kwirinda ko abantu bahagarika guhamagara cyangwa amakuru agabanuka.
Noneho, reka tuvuge ku myaka itatu iri imbere—icyo mbona nk'umuntu usanzwe akorana n'abacuruza ibicuruzwa bishya. Icyerekezo cya mbere:Inyongeramusaruro za 5G zizajya zikoreshwa mu buryo busanzwe, ariko buhoro buhoro. Kuri ubu, porogaramu zo kongera ingufu za 5G zirahenze kandi zirakenewe gusa mu mijyi runaka (nka Seoul, New York, cyangwa Dubai) aho 5G ikwirakwira hose. Ariko mu myaka 2-3 iri imbere, uko 5G igenda ikwirakwira mu bihugu byinshi (Ubuhinde, Burezili, Nijeriya byose birimo kwagura imiyoboro ya 5G), icyifuzo cy'izo porogaramu zo kongera ingufu za 5G zihendutse kizaba cyiyongera. Icyorezo ni ikihe?Abantu benshi bazakomeza gukenera uburyo bwo kongera imbaraga bwa 4G/5G—kuko uburyo bwo gutanga serivisi za 5G buzaba butari bwiza mu gihe cy’imyaka myinshi, kandi 4G izakomeza kuba inkingi ikomeye yo guhuza amakuru.
Icyerekezo cya kabiri:Pibikoresho byo kongerera ubushobozi imodoka bizagurishwa kurusha ibikoresho byo mu rugo.Abantu benshi barimo gukora akazi kabo—abimukira bo muri Brezili, abashoferi b’amakamyo muri Amerika, abahinzi bo muri Nijeriya bagenda mu mirima itandukanye. Imashini zitwara abantu (ntoya bihagije kugira ngo zishyirwe mu gikapu) n’izitwara abantu mu modoka zikomeye (zidapfa amazi, zirinda ivumbi) zizakundwa cyane kuko zoroshye. Namaze kubona abacuruza imodoka mu Buhinde na Nijeriya batumiza ubwoko bubiri bw’imodoka zitwara abantu mu rugo—barimo kubona abantu badashaka ko imodoka zitwara abantu ku mwanya umwe.
Ikimenyetso cyongera imbaraga cya Lintratek cyo gutwara abantu mu modoka. Gutemberera, gutembera mu nkambi, gutembera mu misozi, RV, imodoka.
Icyerekezo cya gatatu:Amabwiriza azarushaho kuba akaze—kandi ibyo ni byiza.Mu bihe byashize, ibikoresho byongerera imbaraga bihendutse kandi bitazwi byaturukaga ku bicuruzwa bitazwi cyane byakwirakwizwaga ku masoko nka Buhinde na Nijeriya. Ibi bikoresho byongerera imbaraga akenshi bibangamira iminara y’imodoka, bigatuma ibimenyetso birushaho kuba bibi kuri buri wese. Ubu, ibihugu nka Ubuhinde (TRAI), Amerika (FCC), na Brezili (ANATOL) birimo gufata ingamba—bisaba ibikoresho byongerera imbaraga kugira ngo byuzuze amahame y’umutekano n’imikorere. Ibi bizakuraho imyanda ihendutse kandi bitume abantu benshi bashaka ibikoresho byiza kandi byemewe. Nk’umuhanga mu ikoranabuhanga, ibi biranshimisha—abaguzi babona ibikoresho byizewe, kandi inganda zirushaho kugirirwa icyizere.
Amaherezo, isoko ry’ibiganiro bitanga amakuru rigamije gukemura ibibazo—ntirigurishe ibikoresho by’ikoranabuhanga. Kandi igihe cyose hari uturere twa kure, imijyi yuzuye abantu, n’abantu bakeneye gukomeza gukoresha itumanaho, icyo cyifuzo kizakomeza kwiyongera. Ikibazo si ukumenya niba uzakeneraicyuma gisubiramo ibimenyetso by'urusobe rw'itumanahovuba—ni yo izagukorera neza.→ Twandikire
Igihe cyo kohereza: Mutarama-21-2026